Daring-Ischemia
0x5ccfce245e298d4e76b2fcd027f535e826968cde
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$2.05
Total PnL
$-69.82
Realised
$7.34
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
2 shares @ 48.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$2.05
$1.07
- YES
Will Netherlands win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
525 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
305 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET
109 shares @ 23.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-25.95
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - February 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
63 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
38 shares @ 33.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-12.84
- YES
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-02-19?
26 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-6.38
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET
24 shares @ 42.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-9.91
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
23 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.96
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
22 shares @ 15.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET$10.06Feb 19, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$11.05Feb 19, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$26.16Feb 19, 21:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$3.00Feb 19, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.00Feb 19, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET$5.00Feb 19, 21:45 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.61Feb 19, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$5.00Feb 19, 21:41 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.72Feb 19, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 21:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$2.00Feb 19, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$6.61Feb 19, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$3.67Feb 19, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$4.00Feb 19, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$1.00Feb 19, 20:58 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$7.61Feb 19, 20:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$8.02Feb 19, 20:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.00Feb 19, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET$5.00Feb 19, 20:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 6 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
6 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $4.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 10, 20:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 22:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.