Ecstatic-Caravan
0x5cd27390ae18c62a14c8c0fd313d0e8876881c35
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$26.04
Total PnL
$-4.4K
Realised
$3.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
4131 shares @ 41.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$22.72
$-1.7K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
2215 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$3.32
$-16.68
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
104355 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-208.71
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
95963 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
39098 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.1K
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
13333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
464 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET
116 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-4.65
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.24May 4, 00:35 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.46Apr 30, 05:30 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$11.42Apr 30, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$56.95Apr 29, 12:12 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.78Apr 27, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 23, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$10.00Apr 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?$20.00Apr 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$30.00Apr 23, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$5.00Apr 19, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$5.00Apr 19, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$5.00Apr 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$5.00Apr 17, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.00Apr 17, 21:50 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$13.79Apr 17, 00:30 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$8.76Apr 12, 00:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$1.00Apr 10, 21:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $178.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 20, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.