Oddball-Cot
0x5cd801aee58b9e539e58881dfed9b62b57dd3e4c
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$13.09
Total PnL
$-5.77
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
13 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$13.09
$-0.01
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?
1080 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.16
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from March 30 to April 1, 2026?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 9?
400 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon tweet 300–324 times April 18–25?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$13.10Jul 8, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14?$90.09Jun 14, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14?$90.01Jun 14, 01:51 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?$90.08Jun 7, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 7?$90.00Jun 7, 03:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$89.99May 29, 18:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$89.90May 29, 07:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$89.89May 26, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?$89.80May 25, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$89.79May 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$89.71May 17, 08:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$89.69May 15, 19:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$89.60May 14, 02:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$89.59May 13, 18:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$89.50May 11, 09:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$89.09May 8, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$89.00May 8, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?$2.31May 8, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$91.79May 1, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$91.70Apr 29, 08:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $75.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 08:54 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 8, 06:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.