Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-2.0K

Realised

$925.40

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 30

YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026
$0.00
$-10.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
1711 shares @ 21.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026
$0.00
$-363.04
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
1690 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026
$0.00
$-119.87
BNK FEARX
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group A
1613 shares @ 11.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026
$0.00
$-181.01
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1322 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026
$0.00
$-99.88
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
1234 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026
$0.00
$-93.34
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16?
970 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026
$0.00
$-20.00
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
956 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026
$0.00
$-119.52
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
919 shares @ 19.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026
$0.00
$-178.55
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
917 shares @ 49.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026
$0.00
$-452.59

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$61.05May 8, 16:26 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$102.03May 8, 16:26 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$162.45May 8, 16:24 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$62.35May 8, 16:21 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$10.46May 8, 16:21 UTC
REDEEMWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$73.50May 8, 16:19 UTC
TRADEBUYWill TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$52.92Apr 9, 12:07 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$52.92Apr 9, 12:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$31.65Mar 31, 12:15 UTC
REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$31.65Mar 31, 12:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$79.55Mar 31, 12:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$100.00Mar 31, 12:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET$100.00Mar 31, 12:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET$10.00Mar 31, 12:08 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET$10.00Mar 31, 12:06 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$249.72Mar 20, 09:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$100.00Mar 20, 09:13 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$100.00Mar 20, 09:12 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$10.00Mar 20, 09:11 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET$10.00Mar 20, 09:09 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence3 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry37 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk55 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 46
Avg trade size: $75.30
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Mar 17, 03:22 UTC
Last active: May 8, 16:26 UTC
Win rate sample: 1 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 14:14:26 UTC·src:Polymarket Data