Common-Road
0x5cdbf1dba5ac1e6f06f3cfb00aa86eb0a90aa4fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$2.15
Total PnL
$0.12
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Trump do better with Asians than in 2020?$1.02Nov 30, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWho will win young men?$1.03Nov 30, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill 3rd parties cost Kamala Michigan?$1.04Nov 30, 20:54 UTC
- REDEEMHouse control after 2024 election?$1.04Nov 30, 20:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?$1.05Nov 30, 20:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWho will win young men?$1.01Nov 10, 16:51 UTC
- REDEEMSenate control after 2024 election?$1.01Nov 10, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$1.01Nov 10, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWA-03 election: Glusenkamp Perez (D) vs. Kent (R)$1.02Nov 10, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMUnrealized gains tax passed before election day?$1.03Nov 10, 16:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?$0.01Nov 7, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $2,500 on November 8?$0.01Nov 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $170 on November 8?$0.01Nov 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris win California by 25+ points?$0.01Nov 7, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris win Colorado by 8+ points?$0.01Nov 7, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYJD Vance positive favorability before the election?$0.01Nov 7, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump win 30% of Black men?$0.01Nov 7, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Harris win California by 25+ points?$0.01Nov 7, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYSenate control after 2024 election?$1.01Nov 7, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?$1.01Nov 7, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $10.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 01:01 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 30, 20:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.