Glistening-Tailspin
0x5cdcc837f452883ebce6e0f95a759d0f9ca2a493
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-783.13
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 16?
894 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2025$0.00
$-464.89
- KNICKS
Suns vs. Knicks
158 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 18, 2026$0.00
$-90.00
- YES
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
143 shares @ 53.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-75.94
- YES
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
111 shares @ 58.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-64.63
- NO
Will Inter Milan beat River Plate?
107 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2025$0.00
$-58.61
- YES
Will the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?
33 shares @ 52.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$0.00
$-17.34
- NO
Ethereum above $3,300 on January 17?
23 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$0.00
$-11.72
Recent activity
- REDEEMFlyers vs. Rangers$112.70Feb 27, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFlyers vs. Rangers$49.59Feb 26, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSuns vs. Knicks$90.00Jan 17, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$66.82Dec 23, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$84.88Dec 19, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$62.52Nov 21, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$101.13Nov 17, 19:08 UTC
- REDEEMBoxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford $51.21Sep 14, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford $19.97Sep 13, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,600 on August 8?$62.57Aug 9, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,600 on August 8?$45.05Aug 7, 00:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$95.65Jul 22, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on July 21?$52.61Jul 20, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Inter Milan beat River Plate?$58.61Jun 25, 21:30 UTC
- REDEEMSolana above $180 on May 23?$155.22May 23, 22:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $180 on May 23?$69.85May 22, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYLiberals win majority in Canadian election?$64.63Apr 27, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 16?$464.89Mar 15, 01:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kanye launch a coin in February?$75.94Feb 24, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Chiefs win Super Bowl 2025?$17.34Feb 3, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
1/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 55/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $66.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 04:45 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 15:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.