Playful-Manservant
0x5ce3c43f2b2be1b51ec5f4920acbf7340733f779
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
59
Open notional
$14.2K
Total PnL
$-6.5K
Realised
$45.53
Win rate
67%
18 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 59- NO
SCOTUS accepts sports event contract case by July 31, 2026?
4518 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.2K
$248.15
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the VA-06 House seat?
3361 shares @ 64.4¢·now 76.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.6K
$405.45
- NO
Will The Clearing Company self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
1346 shares @ 92.4¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.3K
$60.13
- NO
Law banning sports prediction markets enacted in 2026?
1490 shares @ 78.8¢·now 82.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$47.50
- NO
Sports Prediction Markets taxed as gambling?
1437 shares @ 64.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2027$1.2K
$257.85
- NO
Will Cboe Futures Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
672 shares @ 90.5¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$635.07
$26.98
- YES
Will Florida use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
515 shares @ 81.3¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$445.18
$26.90
- NO
Will ForecastEx self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026?
404 shares @ 83.3¢·now 88.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$357.95
$21.29
- NO
Will Maryland use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
277 shares @ 90.0¢·now 92.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$255.65
$6.27
- YES
Will the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?
281 shares @ 78.6¢·now 80.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$225.88
$5.32
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?$101.15Jun 14, 07:56 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Finals: Player to Record a 5x5?$365.63Jun 14, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the TX-21 House seat?$101.49Jun 14, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina finish second in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$15.00Jun 14, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Finals: Player to Record a 5x5?$99.90Jun 14, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Finals: Player to Record a 5x5?$263.57Jun 14, 05:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill any player score 50+ points in any game during the 2026 NBA Finals?$34.18Jun 14, 05:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals?$16.85Jun 14, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jalen Brunson score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals?$29.99Jun 14, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill OG Anunoby score 50+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals?$27.23Jun 14, 05:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill OG Anunoby score 40+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals?$13.98Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Dylan Harper score 40+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals?$42.03Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Karl-Anthony Towns score 40+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals?$27.10Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama score 40+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals?$26.19Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stephon Castle score 40+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals?$44.40Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Devin Vassell score 40+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals?$34.57Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill De'Aaron Fox score 40+ points in any game of the 2026 NBA Finals?$7.76Jun 14, 05:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Victor Wembanyama record a quadruple double this season?$5.10Jun 14, 05:33 UTC
- REDEEMNBA Finals: Wemby to Record 20+ Rebounds in a Game?$1.4KJun 14, 05:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYNBA Finals: Player to Record a 5x5?$1.78Jun 14, 03:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $79.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 21:51 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 07:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 18 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.