Orange-Sonata
0x5cea765572dc6505f5787b15cf794c4413514fbc
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$2.00
Total PnL
$-5.5K
Realised
$-32.59
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- NO
Will Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$1.00
$0.28
- YES
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?
1 shares @ 26.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Sep 9, 2024$1.00
$0.74
- YES
Will Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?
32717 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-3.9K
- YES
Protestor invades stage at DNC?
1221 shares @ 9.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-117.60
- TRUMP
538 favorite when forecast is turned on?
807 shares @ 21.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-169.98
- YES
Mass arrests at DNC?
556 shares @ 83.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-465.88
- YES
Will Bill Clinton say "Democracy" at DNC speech?
400 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2024$0.00
$-360.00
- YES
Will Walz say "Coach" at DNC speech?
333 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2024$0.00
$-286.38
- YES
Kamala Harris DNC speech under 30 minutes?
211 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-18.32
- YES
Will Walz say "Runza" at DNC speech?
117 shares @ 6.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2024$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?$772.00Aug 24, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?$111.00Aug 24, 22:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?$83.33Aug 24, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?$0.20Aug 24, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?$20.00Aug 24, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill a Democrat win New Jersey Presidential Election?$5.90Aug 24, 05:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?$13.50Aug 24, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?$71.00Aug 24, 05:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris win all 6 swing states?$71.28Aug 24, 05:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?$20.00Aug 24, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "abortion" during DNC speech?$5.00Aug 24, 05:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Taylor Swift attend the DNC?$1.00Aug 24, 05:29 UTC
- REDEEMSpeed/Kai beat hardcore Minecraft by Monday?$1.00Aug 24, 05:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?$111.00Aug 24, 05:28 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Ceasefire" during DNC speech?$111.00Aug 23, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala Harris say "Jew" during DNC speech?$0.00Aug 23, 06:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Beyoncé perform at the DNC?$10.00Aug 23, 06:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala Harris say "Joy" during DNC speech?$3.35Aug 23, 02:46 UTC
- REWARD$0.12Aug 23, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump lead on August 30?$0.50Aug 22, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $138.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 22, 00:45 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 24, 22:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".