Calculating-Referendum
0x5cecf7780497bc7d38ba18285becdef033845a6e
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-155.72
Realised
$-2.01
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on December 13?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on December 13?
1500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $140 on December 13?
1268 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-31.00
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 14, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on December 13?
93 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - December 13, 12PM ET
73 shares @ 6.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
- NO
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
57 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $150 on December 15?
40 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on December 13?
37 shares @ 20.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-7.70
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - December 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
32 shares @ 17.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 15, 2025$0.00
$-5.56
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$6.82Dec 17, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$1.00Dec 17, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$2.00Dec 17, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$2.00Dec 17, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$2.00Dec 17, 18:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$3.77Dec 15, 22:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$2.00Dec 15, 21:59 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$0.00Dec 15, 21:47 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$3.77Dec 15, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET$2.00Dec 15, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$1.90Dec 15, 21:16 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$3.40Dec 15, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$3.20Dec 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$2.80Dec 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$1.00Dec 15, 20:21 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.00Dec 15, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$3.03Dec 15, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$2.00Dec 15, 19:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$2.00Dec 15, 19:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - December 15, 2PM ET$1.99Dec 15, 19:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 13:46 UTC
- Last active
- Dec 17, 21:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".