Political-Experiment
0x5ceda4b5bcbe1be344b7f31a47efa2f003d16d93
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-10.18
Realised
$1.96
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 15?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,300 on October 31?
21 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
10 shares @ 52.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.20
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
10 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$0.00
$-4.90
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$10.00May 20, 14:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$5.27May 20, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$5.37May 20, 08:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET$5.07May 20, 08:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$11.63Apr 29, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$10.10Apr 29, 14:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 12?$21.36Apr 29, 14:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 12?$21.34Jan 12, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$3.14Jan 12, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 7?$18.20Jan 12, 10:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on December 7?$18.18Dec 7, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 3?$18.18Dec 7, 11:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on December 3?$18.10Dec 3, 12:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 25?$18.11Dec 3, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 25?$18.07Nov 25, 12:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $104,000 on November 14?$10.01Nov 25, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 15?$0.18Nov 15, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 15?$0.11Nov 15, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 15?$0.14Nov 15, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,800 on November 15?$0.11Nov 15, 00:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $9.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 13, 15:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 20, 14:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".