Worrisome-Herb
0x5cf00f552dd0185d19dbfdf0ec2de0059d70a575
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$85.56
Win rate
71%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
680 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$0.00
$-85.00
- YES
Will Mexico vs. Australia end in a draw?
380 shares @ 16.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-61.85
- DANIEL ALTMAIER
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe
320 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
300 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-118.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
298 shares @ 27.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$0.00
$-82.00
- YES
Will Lionel Messi score 12+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
294 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 3, 2026$0.00
$-35.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET
267 shares @ 58.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-157.14
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
265 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Granada CF win on 2026-05-30?
251 shares @ 26.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$0.00
$-66.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
235 shares @ 31.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
Recent activity
- TAKER_REBATE$6.19Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$0.00Jul 5, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lionel Messi score 11+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jul 5, 03:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.05Jul 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$1.05Jul 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$5.22Jul 3, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$10.34Jul 3, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET$10.34Jul 3, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.04Jul 3, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.04Jul 3, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.04Jul 3, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.04Jul 3, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$5.20Jul 3, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.04Jul 3, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$5.21Jul 3, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.04Jul 3, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.04Jul 3, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$1.04Jul 3, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET$5.21Jul 3, 12:25 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET$35.85Jul 3, 12:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
40/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
71% win rate over 14 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
45 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
14 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $5.90
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 17:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 9, 21:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.