Adorable-Mayonnaise
0x5cf78284de8af94ac29c1affef2365a5ab11341f
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.50
Total PnL
$-18.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?
1300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.30
- YES
Will Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Andrew Yang win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.0 million and $2.25 million by December 16?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will David Williams win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Yordan Alvarez win the 2025 AL MVP?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bilal Coulibaly win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$1.05Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1480-1519 tweets in May 2026?$1.36May 23, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1400-1439 tweets in May 2026?$1.05May 13, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the All India Trinamool Congress (AITC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$1.00Apr 3, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Giannis Antetokounmpo win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Mar 4, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kel'el Ware win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Mar 4, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bilal Coulibaly win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?$1.00Mar 4, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Washington Wizards win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$1.00Feb 10, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Sacramento Kings win the NBA Western Conference Finals?$1.00Feb 10, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trae Young win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$1.00Feb 10, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Feb 10, 20:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.00Jan 18, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Semisi Sika be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?$1.00Dec 16, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.0 million and $2.25 million by December 16?$1.00Dec 16, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Dec 16, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill David Williams win the 2025 National Heads-Up Poker Championship?$1.00Nov 20, 14:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Yordan Alvarez win the 2025 AL MVP?$1.00Oct 8, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manuela Magno win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Oct 8, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alberto Undurraga win the Chilean presidential election?$1.00Oct 8, 10:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New Social Contract win the third most seats in the 2025 Netherlands parliamentary election?$1.00Oct 8, 10:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $5.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 6, 22:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 18:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".