Haunting-Repeat
0x5cf87dfc1a53febbae0a2c28d27b9c8070bd69ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
108
Open notional
$21.23
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$6.46
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 108- YES
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
21 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$21.23
$15.71
- YES
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will The Weeknd have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
920 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-3.68
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
833 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
705 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
420 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.52
- YES
World Cup: Most Player Goals Record Broken?
350 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.05
- YES
Will Wintermute be accused of insider trading?
300 shares @ 7.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-23.10
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
180 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.09
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.83Jul 19, 23:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$23.81Jul 18, 23:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ goals AND Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals$9.87Jul 14, 19:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-14?$15.47Jul 14, 19:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20.12Jul 13, 18:37 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferran Torres score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.19Jul 12, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rayan Cherki score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.23Jul 12, 08:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bukayo Saka score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.20Jul 12, 08:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Spain end in a draw?$5.17Jul 12, 08:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$20.00Jul 10, 00:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
8 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 73/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 8
- Avg trade size
- $10.34
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 18, 00:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.