Arctic-Philosophy
0x5cf8f29935fadd6ebc0a4df24ce4f1f5f1f83a61
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-716.25
Realised
$-270.94
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
665 shares @ 64.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 21, 2026$0.00
$-430.71
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.95
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 2, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
4 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - June 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
3 shares @ 45.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.16
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
2 shares @ 96.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 24, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2 shares @ 50.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.13
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - August 19, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
2 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
2 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.76
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$0.00
$-1.94
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.71
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$33.94Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$4.39Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.11Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$36.65Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$76.40Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$23.41Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$6.63Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$11.27Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$42.65Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$8.34Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$9.26Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$17.51Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$1.40Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$9.74Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$6.09Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$8.97Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$4.15Aug 21, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$8.68Aug 21, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$9.25Aug 21, 17:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - August 21, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$9.41Aug 21, 17:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $30.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 20, 23:25 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 21, 17:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.