Glorious-Leaver
0x5cfbd41d554f2eb9d90188a106e2a9fdfbc062b8
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-8.58
Win rate
64%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 47°F or below on May 13?
4666 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 55°F or below on May 13?
2545 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 7°C or below on May 14?
2515 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on May 14?
2492 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 22°C or below on May 16?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 22°C or below on May 7?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C or below on May 7?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 55°F or below on May 10?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Austin be 55°F or below on May 9?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 6°C or below on May 16?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: O/U 2.5 AND France vs. England: Team to Win AND Will France win on 2026-07-18? AND Argentina to score first vs. Spain? AND France to score first vs. England?$26.77Jul 16, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$100.00Jul 16, 10:14 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$189.25Jul 15, 21:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYEngland vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score AND England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$51.99Jul 12, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score AND France vs. Spain: Team to Advance AND Will France win on 2026-07-14?$49.42Jul 12, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET$25.77Jul 12, 06:55 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$0.00Jul 12, 06:20 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$47.17Jul 12, 06:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET$25.82Jul 12, 06:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$36.23Jul 12, 06:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET$25.54Jul 12, 06:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$34.27Jul 12, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$25.81Jul 12, 05:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$0.00Jul 12, 05:59 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$51.83Jul 12, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$10.53Jul 12, 05:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$43.60Jul 12, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET$26.00Jul 12, 05:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$25.75Jul 12, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET$51.11Jul 12, 05:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
32/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
64% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 42/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $26.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 05:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 16, 10:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.