Reasonable-Director
0x5d047b12c66188d5e6af4d38e6dd89cbfb3fde21
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$1.89
Total PnL
$-9.28
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- UP
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 17?
2 shares @ 53.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$1.89
$0.89
- YES
Will global temperature increase by less than 1.00ºC in January 2026?
44 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10AM ET
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 29, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
3 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-0.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
2 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-1.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11AM ET
2 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9AM ET
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 3?
1 shares @ 95.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYTesla (TSLA) Up or Down on March 17?$1.00Mar 17, 11:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in February?$1.05Mar 17, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 9AM ET$1.00Feb 9, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 11AM ET$1.00Feb 8, 16:02 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11PM ET$0.00Feb 8, 15:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11PM ET$1.20Feb 8, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 11PM ET$1.00Feb 8, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 7?$1.06Feb 8, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.23Feb 8, 04:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$2.01Feb 8, 04:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$1.00Feb 7, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$1.00Feb 7, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on February 6?$1.01Feb 7, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on February 6?$1.02Feb 7, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on February 6?$1.03Feb 7, 02:40 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 10AM ET$1.16Feb 5, 17:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.17Feb 5, 17:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 10AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - February 5, 10AM ET$1.00Feb 5, 15:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 29, 15:33 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 11:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.