Second-Hand-Score
0x5d06ee7b42c77f076b39aa603b2247326db97821
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$991.31
Total PnL
$-38.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
200 shares @ 96.4¢·now 96.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$192.10
$-0.70
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 24?
188 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.5¢·exp Jul 24, 2026$186.86
$-0.28
- NO
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
150 shares @ 98.4¢·now 97.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$146.63
$-0.92
- NO
Iran invades Kuwait by July 31?
100 shares @ 99.2¢·now 98.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$98.25
$-0.95
- NO
Will a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?
100 shares @ 96.4¢·now 97.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$97.90
$1.50
- NO
Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
100 shares @ 98.7¢·now 97.6¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$97.60
$-1.08
- NO
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
100 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.50
$0.50
- NO
US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?
30 shares @ 88.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$28.05
$1.65
- NO
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?
30 shares @ 88.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$27.43
$0.76
- NOTHING
Nothing Ever Happens: July
30 shares @ 84.6¢·now 73.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$21.99
$-3.39
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 22?$9.80Jul 22, 17:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on July 22?$15.54Jul 22, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on July 22?$77.10Jul 22, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 22?$27.83Jul 22, 16:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 39°C or higher on July 22?$163.00Jul 22, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 22?$79.00Jul 22, 15:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 22?$50.00Jul 22, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 39°C or higher on July 22?$162.85Jul 22, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 38°C on July 22?$78.55Jul 22, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$49.15Jul 22, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$98.68Jul 22, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYNothing Ever Happens: July$25.38Jul 22, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?$26.67Jul 22, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by September 30?$192.80Jul 22, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?$94.00Jul 22, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on July 22?$9.21Jul 22, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by July 24?$187.14Jul 22, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 24?$26.40Jul 22, 02:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a European country take military action on Iran by July 31?$96.40Jul 22, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran invades Kuwait by July 31?$99.20Jul 22, 02:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $148.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 30, 11:34 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 17:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.