Impossible-Deadline
0x5d0bd15eeae295fa997297862d70346c65d99645
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-241.18
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $88,000 January 5-11?
280 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.78
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $130 on January 12?
280 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-2.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
277 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.64
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $2.20 and $2.30 on January 11?
276 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.72
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $98,000 and $100,000 on January 14?
274 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.35
- NO
Will the price of XRP be above $1.70 on January 2?
274 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.19
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.90 and $2.00 on January 14?
272 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.24
- DOWN
XRP Up or Down on January 3?
272 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 3, 2026$0.00
$-5.48
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - January 8, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
271 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.71
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,200 on January 8?
269 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 8, 2026$0.00
$-2.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on July 4?$2.67Jul 4, 01:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 4?$97.73Jun 4, 18:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 4?$0.23Jun 4, 08:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on June 4?$95.55Jun 4, 02:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 28?$72.78May 28, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on May 28?$71.47May 28, 03:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.20 on May 28?$1.54May 27, 18:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 18?$92.35May 18, 18:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.50 and $1.60 on May 18?$90.78May 18, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 12?$1.29May 11, 18:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 30?$19.88May 10, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 3?$0.00Apr 30, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBNB Up or Down - April 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$4.18Apr 21, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,100 April 13-19?$1.45Apr 19, 20:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 5?$0.00Apr 19, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.50 on April 13?$2.15Apr 12, 19:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 6?$75.50Apr 12, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on April 6?$1.92Apr 6, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on April 6?$73.99Apr 5, 16:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be between $1.40 and $1.50 on April 3?$72.26Apr 5, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $39.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 30, 03:55 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 4, 01:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.