Legal-Garment
0x5d15e3f0512cb84d2f6454cd9521ac85767103dc
Wallet digest
Activity score
47/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-7.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Trump say "Taylor Swift" this week?
28 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during West Point Commencement on May 24?
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Warrior" during West Point Commencement on May 24?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "Gold card" or "Trump card" this week?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during West Point Commencement on May 24?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during West Point Commencement on May 24?
3 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during West Point Commencement on May 24?$1.00May 24, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Warrior" during West Point Commencement on May 24?$1.00May 24, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during West Point Commencement on May 24?$1.00May 24, 07:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during West Point Commencement on May 24?$1.00May 24, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?$0.00May 24, 07:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?$2.22May 24, 07:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taylor Swift" this week?$1.00May 21, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week?$1.00May 18, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Gold card" or "Trump card" this week?$1.00May 18, 21:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Taylor Swift" this week?$1.00May 18, 21:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$4.84May 18, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$5.00May 18, 20:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?$0.36May 18, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more?$0.07May 18, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote?$2.00May 18, 19:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$7.69May 18, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$5.00May 18, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill voter turnout in the 2025 Romanian presidential election be 12m or more?$5.00May 18, 17:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
16 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 44/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $2.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 17:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 07:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.