Downright-Exception
0x5d1ed3043b2adc16b453cd20aeb275496189f3e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$106.05
Total PnL
$-16.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?
106 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 5, 2026$106.05
$0.05
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?
1830 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.66
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 23?
1801 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?
1200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will the price of Solana be above $210 on October 21?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- CELTICS
Pistons vs. Celtics
6 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 16, 2025$0.00
$-3.45
- NO
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
1 shares @ 99.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026?$106.01Jun 5, 06:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$104.10May 30, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30?$104.01May 30, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$105.11May 30, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?$105.01May 28, 03:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?$105.11May 25, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 25?$105.01May 25, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$105.11May 19, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?$105.01May 17, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 17?$3.92May 17, 06:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Solana be above $70 on May 14?$108.11May 14, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $70 on May 14?$108.01May 13, 11:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?$109.11May 10, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 10?$109.01May 10, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$107.11May 10, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$3.78May 5, 03:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$107.01May 5, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on April 23?$0.00May 5, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?$0.00May 5, 03:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$0.00May 5, 03:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 23
- Avg trade size
- $57.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 10:50 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 5, 06:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".