0x5d25d5325c5c1b0ed0f46d71660786866561b703
0x5d25d5325c5c1b0ed0f46d71660786866561b703
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$205.20
Total PnL
$-519.24
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
1175 shares @ 11.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$146.87
$12.85
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?
556 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2027$58.33
$8.33
- YES
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?
3633 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-408.99
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
718 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?
98 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?
55 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-50.44
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
51 shares @ 9.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
42 shares @ 45.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
US forces in Venezuela again by January 31, 2026?
16 shares @ 31.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
15 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?$50.92Jul 19, 19:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$9.02Jul 19, 09:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$5.17Jul 19, 06:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$50.13Jul 16, 19:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$33.05Jul 15, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?$0.04Jul 15, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
7 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $28.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 17, 00:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.