Bowed-Hearthside
0x5d31e744daf76a6696e0c8136f0e0623361ea7ee
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
28
Open notional
$142.26
Total PnL
$-50.15
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
50 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$50.00
$12.50
- NO
Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31?
45 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$45.00
$3.15
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
30 shares @ 95.8¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.10
$0.32
- YES
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?
18 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$18.16
$2.00
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?
115 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
12 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
12 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET
12 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
12 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 24, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
10 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$28.79Mar 1, 01:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 1?$16.16Mar 1, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation by March 31?$27.90Mar 1, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYNuclear weapon detonation by March 31?$13.95Mar 1, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$37.50Mar 1, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$6.50Mar 1, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET$5.88Mar 1, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET$5.88Mar 1, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET$5.88Mar 1, 01:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$5.88Mar 1, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$5.88Mar 1, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET$5.88Mar 1, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET$5.88Mar 1, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$5.88Mar 1, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$6.00Mar 1, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$11.76Mar 1, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET$11.76Mar 1, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET$11.76Mar 1, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET$11.76Mar 1, 01:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET$3.00Nov 25, 02:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $10.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 31, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 01:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.