Rough-Rite
0x5d3a898d30d3bd4b8888a80db21bb1969e3af6ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
78
Open notional
$4.21
Total PnL
$-200.70
Realised
$7.09
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 78- YES
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
182 shares @ 2.2¢·now 1.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
59 shares @ 1.7¢·now 2.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.21
$0.21
- YES
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
1018 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on April 21, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on April 24, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on April 22, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on April 23, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on April 19, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Military action against Iran ends on April 25, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.07May 4, 11:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET$1.06May 4, 11:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$1.06May 4, 11:14 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$1.19May 4, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$1.03May 4, 11:13 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$2.01May 4, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET$1.06May 4, 11:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$4.16May 4, 11:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$0.01May 4, 11:10 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$4.49Apr 23, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$2.00Apr 23, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$2.00Apr 23, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$0.50Apr 21, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?$0.00Apr 21, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 17, 2026?$0.00Apr 21, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 16, 2026?$0.00Apr 21, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 15, 2026?$0.00Apr 21, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMMilitary action against Iran ends on April 14, 2026?$0.00Apr 16, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$0.00Apr 16, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET$1.00Apr 16, 13:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $1.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 23:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 4, 11:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.