Favorable-Implication
0x5d3d0dd2e5737e1807b8efbf771b1a143fbac539
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-52.6K
Realised
$-4.3K
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2138494 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-14.9K
- YES
Will Andy Beshear be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
178529 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-6.3K
- YES
3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
42500 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-2.3K
- YES
Will Mark Kelly be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
38037 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-1.3K
- NO
Obama endorses Kamala as Dem Nominee?
30500 shares @ 11.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 18, 2024$0.00
$-3.4K
- YES
Will J. B. Pritzker be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
25000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will RFK Jr. drop out before September?
21453 shares @ 83.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2024$0.00
$-17.9K
- YES
Will Pete Buttigieg be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?
12000 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2024$0.00
$-170.93
- YES
2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?
8800 shares @ 21.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-1.9K
- NO
Will RFK drop out before November?
6766 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2024$0.00
$-215.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$1.3KSep 19, 01:27 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$275.00Sep 19, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$275.00Sep 19, 01:23 UTC
- REWARD$8.57Sep 19, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$9.51Sep 18, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$90.00Sep 18, 23:46 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$17.85Sep 18, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$0.30Sep 18, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$7.49Sep 18, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$7.20Sep 18, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$0.30Sep 18, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$7.20Sep 18, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$151.20Sep 18, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$8.95Sep 18, 22:34 UTC
- TRADEBUY2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$55.73Sep 18, 16:18 UTC
- TRADEBUY2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$31.92Sep 18, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUY2 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$542.35Sep 18, 16:01 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$15.51Sep 18, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$5.72Sep 18, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUY3 Trump vs. Harris debates before election?$134.18Sep 18, 07:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $158.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 10, 00:00 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 19, 01:27 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".