Incompatible-Honeybee
0x5d44a5ce325ab8b8f4e5df8fde6d89fd0d2ebd55
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
88
Open notional
$7.81
Total PnL
$-639.07
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- NO
Will Donald Trump post 20-39 Truth Social posts from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$2.10
$0.00
- NO
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$2.00
$-0.00
- NO
Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.50
$0.00
- NO
Will BNB reach $900 in July?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.11
$0.00
- NO
Will Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.10
$0.00
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani’s RCV margin of victory be between 6% and 9% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Ana Birchall win the Romanian presidential election?
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2025 NBA Finals?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Luka Doncic lead the NBA in Assists?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will Trump impose more sanctions on Russia by September 30?
3000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill BNB reach $900 in July?$1.11Jul 21, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2.00Jul 11, 23:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?$1.04Jul 10, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton?$1.10Jul 10, 16:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.20Jul 1, 06:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP reach $1.60 in June?$1.00Jul 1, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in June?$1.00Jun 28, 17:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$10.19Jun 28, 10:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 20-39 posts from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$10.11Jun 26, 20:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$1.10Jun 26, 18:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$1.10Jun 25, 21:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$2.50Jun 23, 18:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?$1.20Jun 19, 23:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.55Jun 19, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$1.55Jun 16, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$2.50Jun 15, 16:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2.40Jun 4, 07:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.50May 23, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tony Thurmond win the California Governor Election in 2026?$1.10May 21, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$2.40May 21, 00:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
28 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $2.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 17:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 23:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.