Kindhearted-Fry
0x5d50dea779d8c7b8f97978c74972692ff9928eeb
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
42
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-450.52
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 42- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
4618 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-12.80
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
800 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31?
496 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
310 shares @ 12.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of November 2025?
202 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.50
- NO
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?
175 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-31.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 17 to October 24, 2025?
171 shares @ 64.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 24, 2025$0.00
$-111.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 23 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$59.77May 12, 01:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $4,000 in November?$0.00Apr 17, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$0.00Apr 17, 03:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$47.22Feb 2, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?$40.00Feb 2, 01:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$87.22Jan 30, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$39.77Jan 28, 01:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$39.77Jan 28, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January?$1.1KJan 15, 09:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.1KJan 12, 05:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$931.95Jan 8, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$931.95Jan 8, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$934.72Jan 8, 03:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-99 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$934.72Jan 7, 11:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-99 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?$932.07Jan 7, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?$932.07Jan 6, 02:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 40m?$904.11Jan 5, 03:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$114.29Jan 2, 10:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$169.13Jan 2, 07:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$65.00Jan 2, 07:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $441.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 15, 09:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 01:22 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.