Burdensome-Risk
0x5d5d4e651f8bedea0e380da4436ade1ce649d861
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
25
Open notional
$2.95
Total PnL
$-68.06
Realised
$-0.06
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 25- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
3 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$2.95
$0.97
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 5, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 215-239 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?
50 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 6 to January 13, 2026?
40 shares @ 7.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?
15 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 22-23°F on January 20?
14 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from January 10 to January 12, 2026?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?
12 shares @ 17.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 30, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$2.00Feb 5, 23:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET$2.00Feb 5, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$1.00Feb 5, 01:41 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$2.32Feb 5, 01:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET$2.00Feb 5, 01:08 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?$4.88Jan 29, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?$5.08Jan 29, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?$5.41Jan 29, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?$6.17Jan 29, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?$7.81Jan 29, 04:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28?$8.05Jan 29, 04:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?$2.00Jan 28, 04:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$2.00Jan 28, 04:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from January 23 to January 30, 2026?$2.00Jan 28, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Páfos FC win on 2026-01-28?$2.00Jan 28, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-28?$3.00Jan 28, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?$2.00Jan 28, 03:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-28?$5.00Jan 28, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC win on 2026-01-28?$3.00Jan 28, 03:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?$5.00Jan 28, 03:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $3.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 15, 15:37 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 23:32 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.