This-Proceedings
0x5d621ddf17d8a5bb0d7b6f309f58a260a2925ede
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-137.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?
147 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-22.00
- NO
Will anyone say "Q3" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?
105 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 17, 2025$0.00
$-25.28
- NO
Will Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?
75 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2025$0.00
$-22.38
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 25?
44 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$0.00
$-24.28
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 10+ times during his victory/concession speech?
42 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- SHARKS
Sharks vs. Bruins
37 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2025$0.00
$-24.52
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Rent" during his victory/concession speech?
34 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.50
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Grocery" during his victory/concession speech?
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?
17 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2025$0.00
$-4.80
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?$4.80Nov 4, 16:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Grocery" during his victory/concession speech?$5.00Nov 4, 16:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "Rent" during his victory/concession speech?$4.50Nov 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zohran Mamdani say "New York" or "New Yorker" 10+ times during his victory/concession speech?$4.50Nov 4, 16:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $3700 and $3800 on July 25?$24.28Jul 25, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?$24.28Jul 24, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 180–194 times July 18–25?$6.25Jul 23, 21:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?$6.25Jul 23, 21:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 255 or more times July 18–25?$25.57Jul 22, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone say "Q3" during the Q2 2025 Netflix earnings call?$25.28Jul 17, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Biden" during his NATO speech?$6.65Jun 25, 14:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during his NATO speech?$3.76Jun 25, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "NATO" 15+ times during his NATO speech?$3.76Jun 25, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "NATO" 15+ times during his NATO speech?$7.91Jun 25, 10:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSharks vs. Bruins$24.52Jan 20, 19:45 UTC
- TRADESELLMavericks vs. Hornets$24.52Jan 20, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Hornets$15.11Jan 20, 19:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" 15 or more times during his inauguration speech?$22.38Jan 19, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America first" during his inauguration speech?$22.00Jan 19, 19:48 UTC
- REDEEMGerman Bundestag dissolved in 2024?$0.00Dec 28, 11:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $25.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 12, 19:12 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 16:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.