Costly-Discrimination
0x5d622592c41e307ff8538b8658ad4c290ecde937
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
5
Open notional
$65.50
Total PnL
$-64.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?
100 shares @ 70.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$65.50
$-4.50
- YES
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
91 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-29.10
- NO
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 be between 2,750,000 and 3,000,000?
50 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 29, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 - January 4 be between 17,750,000 and 18,000,000?
50 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 27, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 27, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMTim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?$30.00Jun 7, 10:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 90%?$100.00Jun 7, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?$47.23Feb 6, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$23.40Feb 6, 02:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$108.78Feb 6, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?$70.00Feb 5, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$100.00Feb 5, 03:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 70%?$5.00Jan 8, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 - January 4 be between 18,000,000 and 18,250,000?$49.99Jan 8, 03:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 - January 4 be between 18,000,000 and 18,250,000?$1.39Jan 5, 13:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 - January 4 be between 18,000,000 and 18,250,000?$9.00Jan 5, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 - January 4 be between 18,000,000 and 18,250,000?$1.61Jan 5, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?$21.25Jan 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Polymarket mindshare hit 85%?$21.25Jan 5, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 - January 4 be between 17,750,000 and 18,000,000?$3.72Jan 4, 20:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 - January 4 be between 17,750,000 and 18,000,000?$4.00Jan 4, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 - January 4 be between 17,750,000 and 18,000,000?$1.61Jan 4, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 - January 4 be between 17,750,000 and 18,000,000?$6.67Jan 4, 18:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 - January 4 be between 17,750,000 and 18,000,000?$4.00Jan 4, 18:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the total number of TSA passengers for December 29 - January 4 be between 18,000,000 and 18,250,000?$3.00Jan 4, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $55.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 23, 16:04 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 7, 10:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.