Tart-Official
0x5d67c465e9156fc2077d2f881c65405d09a64e16
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-221.95
Realised
$70.37
Win rate
67%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?
400 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-8.20
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire before July?
400 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?
300 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 13, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
US military action against Iran before July?
200 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?
200 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Will María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?
200 shares @ 34.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 10, 2025$0.00
$-69.54
- YES
Ukraine hits Moscow by December 31?
135 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-38.64
- YES
Will Trump try and fire Powell before June?
100 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$13.20Nov 20, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$2.70Nov 13, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$10.80Nov 13, 06:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$12.50Nov 8, 14:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$9.90Nov 5, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$10.00Nov 1, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine hits Moscow by December 31?$10.00Oct 26, 22:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$37.14Oct 20, 19:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?$35.53Oct 20, 18:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by November 30?$4.94Oct 18, 23:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$23.80Oct 18, 21:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by December 31?$22.96Oct 18, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Putin by November 30?$4.68Oct 18, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$4.00Oct 13, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$18.00Oct 12, 15:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?$12.00Oct 12, 10:05 UTC
- REWARD$1.80Oct 11, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$2.00Oct 10, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?$30.00Oct 10, 07:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill María Corina Machado win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$25.12Oct 10, 06:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 9 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
49 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 53/100.
9 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $45.45
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 29, 12:54 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 20, 14:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.