Spiteful-Comic
0x5d6b2f38639632d684c2308e389af4f2128fb03a
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
98
Open notional
$2.31
Total PnL
$-394.54
Realised
$47.89
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
22 shares @ 15.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.31
$-0.99
- YES
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
335 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
333 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Phantom launch a token in 2025?
267 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
267 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Maduro out by November 30, 2025?
267 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Variational launch a token in 2025?
266 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
250 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US national Solana reserve in 2025?
208 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
195 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?$4.44Jul 19, 19:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$11.43Jul 12, 00:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?$3.14Jul 10, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway vs. England end in a draw?$3.14Jul 10, 13:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France vs. Morocco end in a draw?$3.07Jul 8, 16:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?$9.38Jul 7, 23:12 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$6.51Jul 7, 18:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5 AND Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?$3.00Jul 7, 13:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?$3.06Jul 6, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?$2.55Jul 5, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mexico vs. England end in a draw?$2.55Jul 5, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?$3.07Jul 4, 10:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Australia vs. Egypt end in a draw?$8.82Jul 3, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belgium win on 2026-07-06? AND Will Canada win on 2026-07-04? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?$3.49Jul 3, 14:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
16/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
50% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 70/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 21, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 19:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.