Frugal-Altitude
0x5d723ebedff4585fdd623d4753b646f1ac9bd32c
Wallet digest
Activity score
40/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-24.60
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- UP
XRP Up or Down - March 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
136 shares @ 44.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-59.98
- YES
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal?
127 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 15, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
95 shares @ 20.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-19.72
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 1, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET
78 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-67.09
- UP
Solana Up or Down - March 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET
71 shares @ 55.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-38.95
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET
58 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-33.20
- UP
XRP Up or Down - April 8, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
57 shares @ 57.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 8, 2026$0.00
$-32.53
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - April 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
56 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-31.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
54 shares @ 58.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-31.32
- YES
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?
52 shares @ 57.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 15:45 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$80.92Jul 22, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET$41.29Jul 22, 15:30 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$66.14Jul 21, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$38.22Jul 21, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$4.62Jul 20, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 20, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET$42.02Jul 20, 16:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$9.23Jul 20, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET$45.85Jul 20, 05:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$0.01Jul 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$72.32Jul 19, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 19, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$42.77Jul 19, 18:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$64.18Jul 19, 02:30 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - July 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$75.50Jul 19, 02:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$40.58Jul 19, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 18, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$36.45Jul 19, 02:15 UTC
- TRADESELLSolana Up or Down - July 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$37.00Jul 17, 14:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana Up or Down - July 17, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET$18.06Jul 17, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$27.66Jul 16, 23:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 16, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$16.79Jul 16, 23:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
33/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
25% win rate over 8 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 51/100.
8 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $25.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 22:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 15:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.