Babyish-Ethyl
0x5d77a484c1c886d8c1929f460b50efd104ef6bd8
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
118
Open notional
$53.06
Total PnL
$-727.36
Realised
$10.73
Win rate
88%
33 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 118- YES
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
19296 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$9.65
$-9.65
- YES
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
17914 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.96
$-8.96
- YES
Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
16811 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.41
$-8.41
- YES
Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
8847 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$4.42
$-4.42
- YES
Will Bruce Walden win the 2026 Alaska governor election?
2095 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$3.14
$-1.05
- YES
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
4167 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.08
$-2.08
- YES
Will Solana dip to $20 in July?
3268 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$1.63
$-5.17
- YES
Will Carles Puigdemont be the next Prime Minister of Spain?
1023 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Mar 31, 2028$1.53
$-1.53
- YES
Will the Christian Democrats (KD) win the most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Sep 13, 2026$1.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Roberto Cláudio win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?
293 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$1.17
$0.29
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Solana reach $160 in July?$0.02Jul 28, 13:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$5.00Jul 27, 19:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Alibaba have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.31Jul 27, 18:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$0.01Jul 26, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in July?$0.04Jul 25, 17:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.44Jul 25, 12:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$0.70Jul 25, 12:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Benjamin Netanyahu win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.30Jul 25, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.01Jul 25, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Dacian Cioloș be the next Prime Minister of Romania?$0.02Jul 24, 23:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.00Jul 24, 15:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.00Jul 23, 15:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.00Jul 23, 15:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill XRP dip to $0.20 in July?$1.20Jul 23, 14:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill BRION win the LCK 2026 season playoffs?$0.52Jul 23, 08:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$2.00Jul 23, 03:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Roberto Cláudio win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election?$0.11Jul 22, 13:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$1.00Jul 22, 07:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1.92Jul 21, 17:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Tory win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?$0.01Jul 21, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
74/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
88% win rate over 33 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
33 closed markets, 88% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 19, 13:03 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 13:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 33 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.