0x5d86c696f180c6a5dce234472a793bc7e021572e
0x5d86c696f180c6a5dce234472a793bc7e021572e
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$458.04
Total PnL
$-130.89
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
458 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$458.04
$96.19
- NO
Will Solana reach $200 October 20-26?
6729 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 27, 2025$0.00
$-14.72
- NO
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
1000 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-50.00
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
400 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$0.00
$-96.00
- YES
Will Sora by OpenAI be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 7?
200 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,900 on November 1?
50 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-10.50
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 16?
50 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 16?
14 shares @ 36.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 16, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Claude 5 be released by December 31?
10 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-0.86
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$361.85Feb 7, 13:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$406.81Jan 20, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$402.34Dec 25, 02:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$44.50Dec 25, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$17.73Dec 19, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?$17.98Dec 19, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?$50.00Dec 19, 05:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$443.55Dec 4, 14:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$255.62Dec 4, 00:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$7.90Dec 4, 00:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$5.23Dec 4, 00:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$7.90Dec 3, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$55.30Dec 3, 23:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?$18.81Dec 3, 23:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$350.76Dec 2, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$213.39Dec 2, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$22.50Dec 2, 06:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$79.79Dec 2, 06:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$315.62Dec 2, 06:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?$31.78Nov 25, 05:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $75.13
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 26, 09:59 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 7, 13:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".