Orange-Reservation
0x5d8bf6f07555b0358f95403bffebcf058fdf9fa1
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$7.11
Total PnL
$-21.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
44 shares @ 15.9¢·now 16.2¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.11
$0.11
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
2248 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET
2242 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
2242 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
2239 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
2239 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET
2239 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
2238 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - December 18, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2238 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET
2237 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.00Mar 28, 02:00 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$2.06Mar 28, 01:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$2.00Feb 6, 01:25 UTC
- REDEEMBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$1.00Feb 6, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?$1.02Feb 6, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.02Feb 6, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill the RSF capture El Obeid by January 31?$1.03Feb 6, 01:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$300.00Feb 6, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google Gemini 3 score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$186.00Jan 13, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBill Clinton in jail by January 31?$1.00Jan 13, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the RSF capture El Obeid by January 31?$1.00Jan 13, 01:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS bank failure by January 31?$1.00Jan 9, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela ceasefire by January 31?$1.00Jan 9, 08:36 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$2.2KDec 19, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$0.00Dec 19, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - December 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.2KDec 19, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$2.2KDec 19, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$104.89Dec 19, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$2.00Dec 19, 07:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - December 19, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET$3.86Dec 19, 07:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $20.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 19, 07:40 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 28, 02:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.