Emotional-Dromedary
0x5d8cae6bad1ddce3ac8a9b130b35ef12ed3c501e
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-114.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
1783 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-21.64
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
260 shares @ 2.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.74
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET
166 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-11.65
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 March 23-29?
70 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 30, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET
57 shares @ 12.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-7.10
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
50 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.04
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
42 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 25?
30 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
27 shares @ 28.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 29, 2026$0.00
$-7.52
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET
19 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia enter Novyi Donbas by March 31?$64.50Apr 1, 09:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?$78.99Apr 1, 09:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$4.08Mar 31, 15:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$13.56Mar 31, 13:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$7.60Mar 29, 18:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$5.74Mar 29, 17:49 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$7.88Mar 29, 15:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$7.80Mar 29, 15:19 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$9.35Mar 29, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$7.80Mar 29, 14:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$1.00Mar 29, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$8.71Mar 28, 23:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?$30.00Mar 28, 20:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?$7.65Mar 28, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$97.80Mar 28, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$120.00Mar 28, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?$0.40Mar 28, 16:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?$6.14Mar 27, 11:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?$61.40Mar 27, 11:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 29?$26.76Mar 27, 09:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $17.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 16:31 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 1, 09:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.