Guilty-Pear
0x5d926a1e54ce1b4e95d672231e1d4a581e208e9d
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$471.56
Total PnL
$-28.43
Realised
$-1.95
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will Taylor Swift have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?
421 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$421.42
$0.42
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$19.90
$0.08
- NO
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
19 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$19.24
$0.00
- NO
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
7 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.31
$0.02
- NO
Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 0.5% and 1.0%?
4 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2026$3.69
$0.00
- YES
Gavin Newsom out as California Governor in 2025?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?
16 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win on 2025-09-21?
12 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 21, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa vs. Manchester City end in a draw?
6 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-1.50
- NO
Will Jack Grealish sign with a new club during the transfer window?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 3, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.