Warped-Savings
0x5d95c4f420fdfbc58d413010805efc04cb209a88
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-2.9K
Realised
$-51.26
Win rate
0%
17 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
1009 shares @ 49.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
955 shares @ 83.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-799.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
702 shares @ 85.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-600.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET
427 shares @ 89.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-380.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
151 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-58.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
141 shares @ 71.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
134 shares @ 44.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-58.79
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
128 shares @ 78.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
119 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
87 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$0.00Jul 22, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET$20.84Jul 22, 09:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$20.27Jul 22, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$10.22Jul 22, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$10.27Jul 22, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$5.62Jul 22, 07:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$5.04Jul 22, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET$10.07Jul 22, 03:52 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$8.06Jul 22, 03:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET$5.13Jul 22, 03:43 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$7.21Jul 22, 03:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET$5.01Jul 22, 03:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET$5.08Jul 22, 03:28 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$10.00Jul 22, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$5.17Jul 22, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$302.43Jul 21, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$506.54Jul 21, 18:01 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$322.58Jul 21, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET$301.47Jul 21, 17:53 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$526.32Jul 21, 17:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
39/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 17 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
29 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
17 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $167.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 16:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 09:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 17 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.