Generous-Nod
0x5d9854cdcca7d0b79ad690ee406f776c153388ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-79.38
Realised
$-1.88
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on July 21?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 21, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 24?
50 shares @ 96.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$0.00
$-48.10
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 2?
30 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 27?
20 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.20
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 2?
20 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 5?
20 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 5, 2026$0.00
$-0.46
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 2?
20 shares @ 56.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
- YES
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 23°C on July 15?
10 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.80
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 8?
10 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-0.02
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 21?
10 shares @ 55.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-5.50
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 2?$20.00Aug 2, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 2?$0.05Aug 2, 09:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 2?$0.10Aug 2, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 2?$0.03Aug 2, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 2?$0.02Aug 2, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 2?$0.11Aug 2, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 2?$0.01Aug 2, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 2?$0.97Aug 2, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 2?$0.11Aug 2, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 2?$0.53Aug 2, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 2?$0.06Aug 2, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 2?$1.20Aug 2, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 2?$9.45Aug 2, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 2?$0.42Aug 2, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 2?$1.33Aug 2, 07:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 2?$1.60Aug 2, 07:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on July 31?$1.60Jul 31, 02:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 29?$14.04Jul 29, 02:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 18°C on July 29?$12.88Jul 28, 23:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?$3.60Jul 26, 02:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
21/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
67% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
46 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 48/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $7.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 06:44 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 2, 16:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.