Hard-To-Find-History-Lock
0x5d9d9968d77f81b69bc6b426a4e5db45f03f6ed4
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
93
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-123.40
Win rate
0%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 93- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
841 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
519 shares @ 28.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-150.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
480 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-120.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET
429 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
360 shares @ 27.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET
231 shares @ 26.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
225 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
224 shares @ 35.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-80.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
216 shares @ 27.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-60.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
202 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 28, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$233.33Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET$73.43Jul 28, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$63.90Jul 28, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$52.54Jul 28, 15:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$42.15Jul 28, 15:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET$21.15Jul 28, 15:06 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$88.24Jul 28, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET$31.39Jul 28, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$21.01Jul 28, 14:57 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$142.86Jul 28, 14:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET$52.27Jul 28, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$10.55Jul 28, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET$31.43Jul 28, 14:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$10.64Jul 28, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$10.53Jul 28, 14:40 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$244.37Jul 28, 14:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET$73.50Jul 28, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET$63.04Jul 28, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$10.64Jul 28, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET$21.04Jul 28, 14:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
56/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 36 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
36 closed markets, 0% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $41.37
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 28, 12:40 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 15:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.