Happy-Go-Lucky-Lecture
0x5d9ea73ace1a17a8964297052e8dede8d5ffd3dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$7.44
Total PnL
$-2.56
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
2 shares @ 50.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.00
$1.00
- NO
Infinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will Base launch a token in 2025?
1 shares @ 93.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.07
$0.07
- NO
Will Abstract launch a token in 2025?
1 shares @ 95.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will China unban Bitcoin in 2025?
1 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.02
$0.02
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
9 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 19, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
USD0 depeg by December 31?
4 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYInfinex FDV above $400M one day after launch?$1.00Jan 4, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 6, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Dec 6, 13:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?$1.00Nov 25, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1.00Nov 25, 04:52 UTC
- TRADESELLFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.18Nov 25, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYUSD0 depeg by December 31?$1.00Nov 7, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.00Nov 4, 15:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin in 2025?$1.00Nov 1, 15:11 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.20Nov 1, 15:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Abstract launch a token in 2025?$1.00Oct 25, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Base launch a token in 2025?$1.00Oct 25, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?$1.00Sep 23, 06:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Larry Ellison/Oracle acquire TikTok?$1.00Sep 23, 06:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 13
- Avg trade size
- $1.01
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Sep 23, 06:23 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 4, 13:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.