Thorny-Commonsense
0x5db33c370503406b975d6d07d6b9bceef1e4efba
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-62.47
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on April 19?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on April 18?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on April 14?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 11°C on April 16?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 36°C on April 17?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 30°C on April 14?
15 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on April 15?
15 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on April 18?
14 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 18, 2026$0.00
$-0.42
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on April 14?
14 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on April 16?
14 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-0.14
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$80.08May 31, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$80.00May 29, 18:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?$9.90Apr 21, 13:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 20?$9.99Apr 21, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on April 20?$9.99Apr 21, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 6°C on April 19?$10.00Apr 21, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on April 19?$10.99Apr 21, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on April 20?$12.99Apr 21, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 20?$13.99Apr 21, 06:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on April 19?$11.00Apr 20, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 20?$0.28Apr 20, 03:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on April 20?$13.72Apr 20, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 21?$9.40Apr 20, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on April 20?$0.26Apr 19, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on April 20?$12.74Apr 19, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 20?$0.20Apr 19, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 16°C on April 20?$9.80Apr 19, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on April 20?$0.11Apr 19, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 66-67°F on April 20?$9.89Apr 19, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win fewer than 75 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?$9.99Apr 19, 11:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $8.60
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 18, 01:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 31, 21:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".