Variable-Sender
0x5db95ac6aa12124eb833b7985d5b56942cbc93ba
Wallet digest
Activity score
51/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$0.17
Total PnL
$-83.54
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.17
$-0.83
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?
4488 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-17.66
- NO
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
3540 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.12
- NO
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
2500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
400 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- NO
Genius FDV above $20M one day after launch?
371 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$0.00
$-1.86
- YES
Will MINHxDYNASTY win the Legend Trade Series?
250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 16, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$0.00Apr 29, 19:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Balance Sheet" during April press conference?$1.02Apr 29, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYJimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?$2.08Apr 29, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$2.10Apr 29, 17:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$1.07Apr 29, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET$5.31Apr 29, 17:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$3.21Apr 29, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$1.07Apr 29, 17:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$0.00Apr 29, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$1.07Apr 29, 17:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$5.36Apr 29, 16:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$3.15Apr 29, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$3.19Apr 29, 16:53 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$9.33Apr 29, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$3.20Apr 29, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$5.17Apr 29, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$3.15Apr 29, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$5.25Apr 29, 16:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$3.70Apr 28, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.94Apr 28, 18:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $3.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 11:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 19:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.