Turbulent-Rite
0x5dbcf9e37a036e33ddf0ca11b566b5082300748c
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
45
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-40.62
Realised
$-0.30
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 45- YES
Will Micron Q3 adjusted gross margin be between 75% and 77.5%?
50 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.50
- YES
Will Valve add first CS2 operation by June 30, 2026?
50 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $80 on June 22?
50 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.05
- UP
Rocket Lab (RKLB) Up or Down on June 22?
50 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-0.15
- YES
Will Troy Jackson win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- YES
Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.80 in June?
50 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-0.70
- YES
Will the US announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by June 26?
50 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
- YES
Will Hanwha Life Esports make a roster change before July?
50 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.45
- YES
Will jL win a trophy by June 30?
50 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-0.10
- NO
Will Micron Q3 DRAM revenue be above $25B?
50 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.55
Recent activity
- REWARD$2.51Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?$0.05Jul 22, 02:20 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$46.00Jul 22, 02:20 UTC
- REWARD$8.36Jul 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on July 21?$0.20Jul 21, 19:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$45.00Jul 21, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 21?$0.50Jul 21, 17:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$46.00Jul 21, 17:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22?$46.50Jul 21, 17:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?$1.12Jul 21, 16:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Sleepy Joe" this week?$1.12Jul 21, 16:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on July 21?$0.04Jul 21, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of July 20 2026?$0.02Jul 21, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) hit (HIGH) $356 Week of July 20 2026?$0.30Jul 21, 13:50 UTC
- TRADESELLHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.06Jul 21, 10:33 UTC
- TRADESELLS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 21?$0.05Jul 21, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on July 21?$0.25Jul 21, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.20Jul 21, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.34Jul 21, 07:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYHormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?$0.34Jul 21, 07:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
19/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 5 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 49/100.
5 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $11.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 21, 02:28 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 7, 20:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.