Dapper-Insert
0x5dc0472c9d4a8e20d3f880769246ba77236b4ee3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
33
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-819.88
Realised
$4.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 in January?
29803 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-99.99
- YES
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
15000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-90.00
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on January 20?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $3200 and $3300 at the end of 2025?
3140 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $3700 and $3800 at the end of 2025?
2275 shares @ 3.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?
2000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $3400 and $3500 at the end of 2025?
1429 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
1010 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-7.07
- YES
Will Rudy Giuliani win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$0.00Feb 27, 15:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$20.00Feb 27, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET$5.00Feb 14, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?$5.56Feb 14, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?$200.00Feb 14, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?$0.03Feb 14, 08:50 UTC
- SPLITBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET$20.00Feb 14, 08:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?$0.45Feb 14, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 14, 2026?$5.96Feb 14, 08:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$0.18Feb 14, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$2.63Feb 14, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$0.26Feb 14, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$1.55Feb 14, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET$0.38Feb 14, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET$5.00Feb 14, 08:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$5.00Feb 14, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$12.59Feb 14, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$1.00Feb 14, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET$10.00Feb 14, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$10.00Feb 12, 18:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 50/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $15.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 16:39 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 27, 15:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.