Unacceptable-Maggot
0x5dc85ba3c16390be15d9878288088a7541f72f2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$74.11
Total PnL
$23.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?
40 shares @ 27.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$40.35
$29.31
- NO
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?
34 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$33.76
$8.78
- NO
Will the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?
18 shares @ 80.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-14.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on March 22?$11.04Mar 21, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Emmanuel Grégoire List win the most citywide list votes in the runoff of the 2026 Paris municipal election by 5–10%?$14.33Mar 18, 13:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tren de Aragua" this week? (March 1)$0.00Mar 4, 15:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tren de Aragua" this week? (March 1)$3.13Feb 27, 09:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$0.00Feb 27, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?$0.00Feb 27, 08:21 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$0.00Feb 27, 08:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Starmer say "Artificial Intelligence" or "AI" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?$3.74Feb 21, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Strangers - Chapter 3" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3.5m?$19.91Feb 7, 10:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?$8.64Feb 6, 12:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?$736.06Feb 4, 05:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?$681.51Feb 4, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Club Brugge win the 2025–26 Champions League?$736.80Feb 3, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sevilla win the 2025–26 La Liga?$682.20Feb 3, 22:38 UTC
- REDEEMCanadiens vs. Bruins$0.00Feb 1, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanadiens vs. Bruins$12.22Jan 24, 14:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?$39.19Jan 20, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill André Ventura win between 22% and 24% of votes in the first round?$11.99Jan 16, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine election called by March 31, 2026?$24.98Dec 29, 17:17 UTC
- REDEEMBlackhawks vs. Canadiens$0.00Dec 27, 05:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
19 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 71/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 19
- Avg trade size
- $157.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 10:22 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 21, 09:26 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.