Safe-Decadence
0x5dcf3d4df5916f05951eb31f8d09bba9d58e8608
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$265.60
Total PnL
$-153.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?
2713 shares @ 6.2¢·now 7.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$196.68
$28.74
- YES
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
222 shares @ 30.8¢·now 25.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$56.81
$-11.65
- YES
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?
769 shares @ 1.3¢·now 1.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$9.62
$-0.38
- YES
Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?
1000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 1, 2027$2.50
$-0.50
- 76ERS
Magic vs. 76ers
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
976 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Kyrie Irving 2024 NBA Finals MVP?
835 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2024$0.00
$-40.53
- YES
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?
513 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?
321 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-25.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$60.70Jul 22, 04:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$27.44Jul 22, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?$27.56Jul 22, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$21.63Jul 22, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$21.28Jul 22, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$50.36Jul 22, 03:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$50.44Jul 22, 03:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals?$3.15Jul 21, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals?$24.11Jul 21, 17:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Detroit Pistons win the 2027 NBA Finals?$31.46Jul 21, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals?$10.49Jul 21, 17:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?$15.70Jul 21, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$19.10Jul 20, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$52.28Jul 20, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$51.73Jul 20, 17:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$25.00Nov 30, 02:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on November 28?$20.00Nov 27, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 November 24-30?$10.00Nov 27, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a balloon deflate during the 2025 Macy's Thanksgiving Day Parade?$5.00Nov 27, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYUkraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?$7.00Nov 27, 15:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
32 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 69/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $20.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 3, 15:58 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 04:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.