Superficial-Shorts
0x5dd043ec37602ab5e6b49712c01b697931ce27cf
Wallet digest
Activity score
61/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$11.46
Total PnL
$-13.59
Realised
$-2.59
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 18?
5 shares @ 75.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 19, 2026$5.23
$1.27
- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?
1 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.39
$0.39
- NO
Iran leadership change by March 31?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- YES
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
750 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?
29 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
4 shares @ 58.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- RAPTORS
Raptors vs. Lakers
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $70,000 on March 18?$4.00Mar 18, 22:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$1.00Mar 18, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$1.70Mar 18, 22:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 17?$2.48Mar 18, 22:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?$0.71Mar 18, 22:12 UTC
- TRADESELLNetanyahu out by March 31?$0.65Mar 18, 22:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.50Mar 17, 03:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 17, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $65 by end of March?$2.00Mar 16, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple (AAPL) close above $250 end of March?$1.00Mar 16, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYMilitary action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?$1.00Mar 16, 23:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$1.19Mar 16, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Balendra “Balen” Shah be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$1.54Mar 16, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Artemis II launch by March 31?$1.57Mar 16, 23:07 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.02Mar 16, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET$1.00Mar 16, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$1.00Mar 16, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 16?$1.41Mar 16, 22:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $1.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 03:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 22:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.