Ruddy-Approach
0x5dde4f59c8034e7696e897e856e7ace58640a285
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$3.59
Total PnL
$-297.53
Realised
$-14.15
Win rate
42%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 31?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 32.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$1.63
$0.57
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?
5 shares @ 25.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$1.42
$0.17
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 30?
12 shares @ 9.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$0.54
$-0.54
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on June 8?
163 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-6.64
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on June 10?
100 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C or higher on June 16?
83 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-4.13
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 37°C on June 2?
79 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-7.90
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 39°C on June 21?
77 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.38
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on July 12?
76 shares @ 6.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 7?
70 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$0.00
$-11.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 31?$1.09Jul 29, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 30?$1.30Jul 28, 21:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on July 30?$1.13Jul 28, 18:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 21?$2.06Jul 20, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 20?$2.01Jul 19, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 35°C on July 18?$2.06Jul 16, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?$4.95Jul 15, 14:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 17?$2.48Jul 15, 07:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 15?$8.82Jul 15, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 15?$3.60Jul 14, 03:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?$4.95Jul 14, 02:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?$4.14Jul 13, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 28°C on July 14?$5.37Jul 13, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C on July 14?$3.21Jul 13, 09:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 13?$1.48Jul 13, 08:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Taipei be 36°C on July 15?$3.43Jul 13, 08:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 32°C on July 13?$12.18Jul 13, 06:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on July 14?$1.12Jul 13, 05:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 31°C on July 14?$1.28Jul 13, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 14?$3.31Jul 13, 00:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
31/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
42% win rate over 12 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
12 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $2.70
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 11, 16:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 04:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.