Lean-Payoff
0x5defdbb776b8d779876864d2a49527b7d4a686f5
Wallet digest
Activity score
55/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$2.01
Total PnL
$-29.97
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Uruguay be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
11 shares @ 9.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$1.17
$0.17
- YES
Will Uruguay be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.85
$-0.15
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
108 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- EMMA RADUCANU
HSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu
11 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?
2 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?
2 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHSBC Championships: Donna Vekic vs Emma Raducanu$6.08Jun 14, 06:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.56Jun 14, 03:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$6.33Jun 14, 03:39 UTC
- TRADESELLKnicks vs. Spurs$3.22Jun 14, 03:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET$5.32Jun 14, 03:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$6.49Jun 14, 02:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$5.08Jun 14, 02:03 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$5.75Jun 14, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET$5.05Jun 14, 01:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYKnicks vs. Spurs$1.02Jun 14, 01:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$5.03Jun 14, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Morocco win on 2026-06-13?$1.02Jun 13, 23:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?$1.86Jun 13, 23:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uruguay be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$1.76Jun 13, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$1.01Jun 13, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?$2.01Jun 13, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paraguay win on 2026-06-12?$1.02Jun 12, 06:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$1.01Jun 12, 06:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$3.03Jun 12, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uruguay be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?$1.03Jun 12, 03:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $2.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 8, 04:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 06:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.